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I think it will pass 3 million. It might even reach 4 if it starts picking up mainstream media outlets as a vastly improved Wii successor with HD graphics and blu ray capability (which it has in some places). It already hit 300 000 in 2 weeks and the holiday kick in hasn't even started. Once it does in mid October it has almost a full month to itself before the competing peripheral even launches. Of course a price drop on the Wii could change everything but I think 3 million is definitely achievable.