PS Move picking up steam, how much by end of year?

[binary solo]

ElGranCabeza said:

smbu2000 said:

ElGranCabeza said:

Icyedge said:

ElGranCabeza said:

Carl2291 said:

ElGranCabeza said:

I choose 500k

No offense, but are you insane?

I see no evidence to suggest otherwise.

Also, anecdotally, all my friends have heard of Natal/Kinect, no one has even heard of Move.

You see no evidence to suggest otherwise? Its already at 300 K without japan. It will already have more than 500K in 2 weeks when japan launch. Imagine in 3 months... 1 Million is as improbable as 6 million.

Says who?

You might want to check the front page.

http://gamrfeed.vgchartz.com/story/82269/playstation-move-300000-units-sold-in-first-ten-days/

I have my doubt about those numbers. I'll just leave it at that.

Well you may have doubts about the HW install base (given the difficulty in accurately tracking an accessory that could have up to 7 units per household), but 250K Sports Champs to date, even with the standards 10% margin for error suggests significantly more than 500K Move install base by 1 January.

I went 1 million because I don't think it'll make it to 2 million, I'm thinking about 1.5 million.