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The first Gears games are around 6 million sold, aren't they? Zelda should match or exceed that, really. What other big exclusives are there next year? Obviously Black/White will outsell Gears 3, but you don't want to include that. What about all the 3DS games? If stuff like Kart 3D, Animal Crossing and Nintendogs Cats are out worldwide next year, they'll be among the top selling games of the year.