IMO your theory does hold water...but...and this is a big but!!!
Power of the system comes into it.
PS1, Nintendo 64 and Saturn were all of a similar power give or take a wee bit.
PS2, XBox, Dreamcast and Gamecube again were all of a similar power give or take a wee bit.
There is a much bigger gap between the Wii and the 360 and PS3. This could make the difference....we don't know yet.....but at the moment, IMHO it's the cost and Wii remote factor that is making people buy the Wii...things will be different in the longer term IMHO.
I do think, that over the course it will be a close between the PS3 and Wii.....but I cannot see an out and out winner by a huge margin this time around.
Prediction (June 12th 2017)
Permanent pricedrop for both PS4 Slim and PS4 Pro in October.
PS4 Slim $249 (October 2017)
PS4 Pro $349 (October 2017)
