jarrod said:
GC/GBA were pretty loaded with games upfront. N64/VB less so, but those were due chiefly to market and pricing factors rather than some inability of Nintendo/others to simultaneously support two distinct platforms. And momentum is exactly why Nintendo will launch first with Wii 2, and why it'll come just a year after 3DS. They'll want to get the industry (publwhat they're doing with 3DS and it's (so far) working out. The plan with 3DS was basically to consolidate their own strengths (in DS) with those of their competitor (PSP), and I think you'll see the same for Wii 2; hold on to their own mainstream/casual Wii base, and grab a good chuck of that vocal HD hardcore from PS3/360. They'll also want to continue Wii's forward momentum and seamlessly transition that to next cycle, momentum which seems to be waning already and is almost gone in Japan... the longer Nintendo waits, the more they risk industry segments moving to or staying with Sony and Microsoft, especiishers, developers, media, retail, consumers) lined up behind them first and foremost, this is exactlyally now that both have introduced their own motion control alternatives. They're going to try and "PS2" the competition... |
The Gamecube had little to no content. They were left with Pikmin and Luigi's Mansion, both games that were unproven and Smash Brothers. The Gamecube realied on Smash brothers though most of it's life. The Gamecube was dead in the water to begin with.
You are thinking too much about the launch date. Launch dates only matter relative to the competition. If Sony has no plans to release a PS4, then Nintendo can wait it out. The 3DS is getting far and beyond the most attention. Nintendo is making 7 games right now for it, and may have more they have not announced yet in typical Nintendo fashion). The DS also had a lot of titles being develoed, as did the Wii.
Title move systems. There is no way around this. Nintendo will not have enough backing for a Wii 2 in 2011 both with 3DS games (which will, by far, take up most of Nintendo's attention) and games already coming out on the Wii. Nintendo isn't going to rush to the next generation like a fool. The only way Nintendo will jump on the next console is if they preseve that a compeitor will, which neither of them will (maybe Microsoft, but Nintendo ignores them most of the time).
I bolded that line as it misses how console launches are done. In order for Nintendo to seemlessly jump into the next cycle, they must have games. This is why they wont launch in 2011 because they will not be able to pool enough resources and risk more by jeprodizing either the 3DS or the Wii 2. As of right now, there is no threat of consumers going to the competition becuase they are not going to buy PS3s or 360s (50% of Wii owners are females who will not buy the HD systems).
So I see no firm reason Nintendo should launch in 2011. Every time I hear people say that, they relate it to the Gamecube, one of Nintendo greatest failures ignoring the DS/Wii schedule.
