PS3 may never catchup to the 360

[Sri Lumpa]

PDF said:


You run on the idea that both consoles will remain alive. If so the ps3 will have a hard time catching up. It may make the lead shoter but it may also always remain there. However the idea that both consoles will live a full life this gen is probably not gonna happen or atleast that is what ast rends tell us. If the 360 is the one to die the ps3 will have no trouble apsing the dead console.

 And you seem to run on the idea that one of them will stay alive while the other will die off but that is not what past trends tell us.

Past trends tell us that you generally get a very strong victor and the rest of the competitors limp along with poor sales until they either die off (Dreamcast) or are replaced by their successor (Saturn, N64, GC and Xbox).

Now I don't think that the 360 and PS3 will do as poorly as the GC and Xbox due to the bigger technical differences between Wii and PS360 so they both could do respectable numbers (30-40 millions consoles) but neither is likely to set the sales on fire and overtake/increase-the-lead over the other.

It is unlikely that either will die off as they have powerful interests behind them but if your scenario was to happen the PS3 would be the one most likely to die off as it seems to need to cut its price just to keep up with the 360 which make it becoming profitable anytime soon doubtful and Sony is not in as good a financial shape as Microsoft is with its Windows/Office monopoly.

Hopefully neither will die off and both will come back with better engineered consoles (360 because of RROD, PS3 because it is overengineered and thus too expensie -> Sony should learn the KISS principle) next gen to give nintendo so real competition (I love their consoles and games but I wouldn't want them to have  monopoly as it is never good for us).