I bump this thread because I expect my prediction to come true..
THe ps move has launched to an estimated 140K in 4 days world wide according to VGC (2 days in the U.S), I suspect the hardware should stay above 50k a week for a while until next year..
so I expect the move games to have legs.. as not many games are expected to release till the end of the year, maybe 10-15.
Other than that.. Wii hardware continues to drop, the PS3 hardware should remain the same or rise a bit come next week's numbers, as the ps3 move effect would have been established for an entire week's worth of a boost.
Wii could drop down to around 125K-130K
While ps3 could stay around 135-145K
Allowing it to ousell the Wii once more world wide.. I suspect japan is going to be sony's main target with move, and based on what I've seen in terms of advertising/launch, it's more than likely. I expect the ps3 to take japan with move and GT5 releasing..
FF 14 could push more consoles than I expect as well, and I think that releases in december for ps3?
We'll see.. all I know is japan is ps3's potential market to truely take on the wii, while it does alright elsewhere..