| Demotruk said: 1) Software sells systems, if you're not getting software that is compelling to the market, excitement for your console wanes. Yes. Now, fortunately Wii has got a big batch of software coming up for the holidays which should give Wii a recovery but looking at the bigger picture, let's face it, nothing is going to change. Wii has already had two major software droughts (latter half of 2008 - most of 2009, and almost all of 2010) and does anyone honestly think that 2011 will be different? And despite those "droughts", they still sold more than the competition. So far for 2011 we only know of one significant title for sure, Zelda, and given the last two years we have no reason to think there'll be much beyond that. Of course you saw the New Kirby, New Donkey Kong, et cetera coming. I think it's silly to assume that Nintendo would just STOP developing games. Third parties aren't suddenly going to change, and Nintendo themselves are now divided over three platforms.Third parties are one of the reasons the Wii has sold so much. Just because it's a game that you don't like, doesn't mean it's a bad game overall. People OBVIOUSLY enjoyed Carnival Games, Just Dance, et cetera. Devs are selling games that people want. With a third year of drought, barely anyone is gonna still be excited about the console. /sigh Again, Zelda-alone is enough for my own excitement and we still know nothing. I'm not worrying about next year now. It's 2010, not 2011. I care about games coming out now.
2) Wii may still be tracking well ahead of PS2, and might thus be expected to be able to outlast it on that basis, except for one slight issue. In the late lifetime of PS2, it wasn't making the bulk of it's sales in the traditional markets like Wii has.People who bought a PS2 probably purchased a Wii this gen. I think it's silly to make that the Wii's overall market and the PS2's overall market are different. This is Sony's biggest advantage in the games console business, they have a strong marketing and distribution presence in regions where Nintendo is not even officially selling consoles. PS2 sold over 20 million in "Other Europe" and "Others" in it's late years which appears to be an impossibility for Wii. Again, Wii has been out for 4 years with 28 million sales in Europe, PS2 has been out for 10 years with 48 million sales. So you're saying it's impossible for the Wii to get ~20 millions sales in 6 years? =/ |
I disagree.
