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Metallicube on 21 September 2010
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Seece said:
Metallicube said:
steverhcp02 said:
Metallicube said:

PS3 has pretty much packed it in I think. The Move as I expected, had a very minimal impact on sales, and Sony has used up most of their cards. MS can milk the 360 a little longer, despite being a year older, with the new console model, Halo Reach, and Kinect. While I don't think Kinect will have a lasting impact either, it will provide a much bigger initial spike in hardware than Move.

Wii is entering the final weeks of its lull until starting to pick up for the holdiay season and the onslaught of Wii titles for Q4, with Kirby, Goldeneye, Wii Party, Just Dance 2, Epic Mickey, DKC, Carnival Games 2, NBA Jam, etc.  Wii has suffered this year having to rely almost entirely on the continued lift of NSMB, considering it basically had no hardware movers this year. While Wii will definitly have huge sales again this holiday, I think it is starting to age, and will be in pretty steady decline after the holiday. Though at the same time, I honestly don't see the HD consoles lasting too far beyond the typical 5-6 year cycle either, especially if Move and Kinect are flops like I expect.

I would say its packed it in you HOPE. Id hardly say the Move launch in September is evidence of a burial by any means considering the PS3 has yet to drop below $299 yet.

I don't think a price drop is going to magically boost the PS3 up to PS2 levels. If the PS3 lacks games that appeal to the average consumer a price drop isn't going to change that. Also, I didn't say it would die after 5 years, but I think it's pretty reasonable to believe that it will decline after that, as the other two consoles will. Though much of that depends on how much Sony plans on supporting the console. If they are really serious about their "10 year plan"and don't release PS4 until 2016 while providing a steady supply of PS3 games, then I guess it could still go on strong for awhile longer. But it remains to be seen if the console will actually sell for 10 years.

Notice nobody got upset when I mentioned that will will be in major decline next year. God forbid say anything that might be negative about the mighty PS3.

It's more logical Wii will be in decline next year though, even I think PS3 sales will boom again when it hits $199. I think Where Microsoft and Sony try harder they'll reap the benefits and both outlast the Wii. IMO

The console that sells the most usually lasts the longest. I'm just going with common sense. People still make the mistake of believing that more powerful hardware = longer lifespan when history hasn't proven this at all. In fact, it generally shows the opposite is true. As I said, ultimately Sony will be the main factor as to how long the PS3 lasts, as will Nintendo with Wii. If they keep releasing compelling games for their consoles and don't cut the life short by releasing a new one, they could last longer.