| Mummelmann said: Remember that last gen, the PS2 was not only 1:100 in terms of power compared to the others, but the Wii is. Anyway; as I've said countless times before, I have precious little faith in the prolonged interest in a product from the most unstable of all buyers; the casuals. This group of people have been known to embrace a new "gadget" and give it near legendary sales, only to abandon it shortly after. Anyone targeting this audience better have a very decisive and longterm plan to keep them hooked. It seems that Nintendo is going to give us more of what they've already done, whcih will quickly grow old for people who change their wardrobe, cellphones or "gadgetry" on a nearly monthly basis. It's showing in the sales of "core" games just how big a percentage of Wii owners are casuals, and they seem to have little to no interest in these titles (SMG, MP). This will continue as long as the core audience shies away, so the top notch 1st party games will not get the attention they possibly deserve, which in turn will deter 3rd parties from investing too much into titles they know won't sell on that platform. So 98% of game library will be the same kind of simple games that casuals seem to like, which won't be nearly varied or entertaining enough longterm to keep their technological wanderlust at bay. This is how the casuals act and think; shortterm and right now. 2 years from now, the Wii will be old news, much like the Nokia 3200 or Sony Ericsson W800i is now. Don't fancy casuals treat consoles the same as cellphones? Well, they're "fashion technophiles", embracing and doting on a piece of gadgetry until it is no longer cool, at which point they toss it out or otherwise discard it. There are core gamers as well who buy the Wii, but they seem to prefer either a PS3, 360 or simply a PC (like me). This is why I feel that the Wii has little staying power, and also why I think that Nintendo will be the first to launch a new console next gen. Okay, there it is; go ahead Avinash, take it away. We're all dying to hear your opinion again. |
Well I am starting from the top:
No the PS2 wasn't as weak compared to the compition as the Wii is. The problem is that the casual games that I speak about doesn't need that much power. Singstar has more or less been selling PS2:s here in sweden since day one. I say that Nintendo is giving a lot of new stuff just aimed for the casual (the whole Wii line more or less) and feeding us the hardcore with the same old.
When it comes to the sales of the core games I just wanted to say that SMG sold during the first month what SMS sold during the first 4 months in USA (all according to NPD). Heavy advertisment from Nintendos side in Japan comparing NSMB with SMG seems to have given some results and SMG seems to be able to beat out SMS LTD.
98% of the games might be for casuals but if Nintendo continue to invest in both software and hardware (Wii fit board, Wii Zapper) the casuals might stay but continue to upgrade their hardware. We could also make an comparsion with the DS, why do it still sell so great if casuals were feed up and wanting something new?
When it comes to when Nintendo will launch their new consol I would like to say that the Wii will be out for a minimum of 5 years. I do also belive that neither PS3 or Xbox360 can afford to give Nintendo 5 years of headstart.
Buy it and pray to the gods of Sigs: Naznatips!
