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But there's plenty of stuff coming for the Wii, isn't there? Zelda, Kirby, Donkey Kong, Wii Party, Epic Mickey, Mario Sports, UDraw, Goldeneye, Just Dance 2, etc.

Wii Vitality should be coming which should further expand the market for the Wii.

I don't think Move or Kinect present that big of a threat to Nintendo aside from just being a lot of hype. Kinect will be a moderate success and Move will bomb.