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PS3 will pass the 360. It will happen ;)

No one here would believe the PS3 will be close to 9M by end of 2007.

PS3 will sell more than the 360 next year, that is my prediction. I strongly believe PS3 passing 360 in others by the end of next year. Also the NA gap will shrink. All my friends that own 360s say they will eventually buy a PS3 next year, some for LBP others for MGS4 or FFXII.

Lets look at the current numbers for 2007:

VGChartz Hardware data for the period 07th Jan 2007 to 23rd Dec 2007:


ConsolePS3X360
Total
7,176,184
7,732,127
America
2,616,869
5,042,002
Japan
1,166,186
249,245
Total Others
3,393,129
2,440,880

 So, this year the PS3 outsold the 360 in Others by 953k. The current gap is 1593k and I believe next year with 3 more months the PS3 (PS3 was launched in March) and a Euro 400 price it will eat that 1.6M lead easy.

In Japan we know how it goes, PS3 is leading the 360 by 917k. Next year I expect the PS3 to beat the 360 by 1200k or more. If MGS4 and FFXIII are successful in Japan that 1.2M might grow to 2M easy.

So, I expect others+japan to for PS3 with a lead of at least 2.8M.  

NA is where the PS3 is having more trouble but from my friends I know lots of people are holding off, not staying away from the console. This year the 360 outsold the PS3 close to 2:1, with a nice 2426k lead. This was the Halo 3 year and also the PS3 was selling like crap at 500-600 for almost 10 months so I believe next year the 360 lead will be smaller, much smaller, down to around 1M or so.

So, I see the PS3 outselling the 360 very easily in 2008.

PS: These are my expectations. I cannot predict the future but it is possible and I see it happening. 



PSN ID: krik

Optimistic predictions for 2008 (Feb 5 2008): Wii = 20M, PS3 = 14M, X360 = 9.5M