Will the PS3 overtake the XBox 360 in 2 years?

[numonex]

evolution_1ne said:

Michael-5 said:

I think the only way PS3 will overtake 360 in overall sales is if PS4 comes out a year later then X-Box successor, and even then it's iffy.

In the 4 years since PS3's launch, PS3 sales have only been above 360 sales ocassionally during a big game release, and since the PS3 Slim. Now that the PS3's Slim effect has worn off, Microsoft has a temporary lead due to a slightly better fall lineup (Kinect > Move, Halo = GT5, Fable = LBP), and it's own Slim effect. In 2011, both Slim effects will have faded, and it will most likely be like it was before the PS3 slim effect. This isn't garenteed, but regardless Sony will be having a hard time just selling above the 360, nevermind catching up a potential 6 million console difference by the end of the year

and then Sony drops the price of the ps3 to 199.........

why oh why do people always seem to ignore the fact that the lowest selling ps3 sku is at 299, remember the ps3 during the time it slaughtered the 360 due to the price cut last year.......was STILL the most expensive console on the market....

The next PS3 price cut will be $299 to $249 on the cheapest model. Only $50 price cut. Increased HDD plus game bundles with extra value without a price drop would be the best business model. PS3 is still selling well at $299 and $399. Another $100 price cut is a bad business decision. Finish second is not worth it if it means taking huge losses in revenue/profits. Settling for third place and making a profit on PS3 to set up the future would be the best business decision. 

$399 to $299 is only a 25% decrease in sales price. $299 to $199 would equate to a 33% price reduction in the sales price. Lower profit margin and most likely a substantial loss per console sold with another $100. The extra console sales would generate bigger losses and would not be offset much by increased game sales.