ranzchic on 19 February 2007
mrstickball said:
It really depends on the steam Wii can keep up in Feb-July.
Should the Wii continue sales pace, it might surpass the 360 by September W/W, and beat the 360 out for atleast a month w/w. I expect Oct-Dec to be VERY good to the 360 due to Halo 3 and GTAIV, with the 360 beating the Wii out in those months w/w.
So........In short........September 2007, via NPD + MC, Wii will beat out the 360 IMO. However, the 360 will regain a slight lead, to be re-taken by the Wii in January. It will stay this way until each holiday when the 360 will re-gain the lead slightly, wash rinse repeat, until the PS3 takes over in 2009-2010 and stays there.
Yet again, LTD Totals:
PS3 - 70-75m
360 - 50-55m
Wii - 47.5-52.5m
Over lifetime. I expect the Wii to out-sell both, but have a shorter lifespan (think Xbox support after 360 came out), therefore allowing the 360/PS3 to overtake lifetime sales.
It won't be that close. Either the Wii is gonna be a runaway hit(100M+ and the 360 and the PS3 both share 50M or so in sales left over) or it will tank and stay at 20-30M, probably less than that.
If the Wii tanks, the PS3 will win. The 360 just doesn't have it yet to win this generation generation(the anemic Japanese support will prove fatal, especially with a mediocre European response), they have a better shot in the next one, however. 360 sales will plateau at 30M at the most, probably less because its more expensive than the original xbox. The PS3 will not see ps2 level kind of sales for that very reason as well, but they still win(if the Wii tanks that is).
