It will be close but I don't think so. I'm thinking right around 48 million, which is still VERY VERY good considering this isn't even the end of the generation and if you told someone last gen that the 360 would sell over 50 million consoles in its lifetime people would have called you insane.
However if Kinect takes off BIG in America it just might push it over 50 million. Kinect will have a bigger impact than Move but I'm not convinced it will be able to push hardware like the motion controls did for the Wii. Only time will tell though, the holidays are always fun 







