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Mummelmann said:
So people still believe that the Wii will have the same lifespan as the HD consoles? Why? And don't tell me that "the Wii will start and keep selling 60 million a year", there must a reason why they will uphold this tremendous momentum. But these reasons are never given, it is just assumed that it will be that way, sound reasoning indeed.

Why not? Technology has little to do with staying power. Look at the NES, it was much weaker than its personal computer counterparts at the time (16 bit vs 8 bit), yet it managed to outlast them, and today the name "NES" is a far bigger name in the industry than the "Commodore 64," that was much more powerful at the time. 

 I believe it'll be a similar situation with the Wii. Not only will it have the lifespan of the HD consoles, I believe it'll outlast the HD consoles. The HD consoles may be more powerful, but the Wii is more innovative, and in gaming innovation outlasts technology. I truely believe that it'll be the Wii that will last 10 years, NOT the PS3. Wii will become "the" defining console of the time much like the NES, while the 360 and PS3 will fade into obscurity as its niche of hardcore gamers will only be able to carry them so far.