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I say 2011 for now.  This is because every year I have had the PS3 (Since Launch) the next year looks even better.  Next year I see Killzone 3, SOCOM4, Resistance3, Infamous2, and yet another ratchet and clank.  I also predict a price cut to $249 and some major marketing.  This is the first year I can honestly say: "How could next year get better than this?"  However, I could very much so be wrong because you never know what SONY has up their sleeves.  For instance if in 2012 games like Uncharted3, another amazing IP from Guerilla Games, and another price drop to $199 happens: PS3 could easily continue to climb through 2012 and 2013 ESPECIALLY if MOVE takes off in 2011.