| Hyruken said: I will take that bet BHR Gran Turismo 5 will NOT sell 3m copies first week. Europe and more importantly UK is Gran Turismo's biggest selling region. Things have changed a lot since ps2 generation. At the time of GT4 releasing there were 7.5m PS2's in UK and it was a game on a console that had no real competition. This time around for GT5 there are just 3m PS3's in UK, a drop of over 50%. Plus there are two other competitors which have both outsold it. In fact even 360 is nearly at sales of 2 to 1 over PS3 there. That will have a huge effect on sales this time around. Plus Pro-logue was never a full price game. It started at £25 here, nearly half the price of a full titled game. Then in a matter of weeks it was at the £15 mark and below, which it is at today. Plus the game was bundled with most PS3's here for a period, it came with mine. I think they even ran a LBP GT5:p bundle for ages if i remember right. If you look at UK pre-order sites charts your see it mirrors this chart pretty much. If you look at those charts GT5 seems to be around the 8-10 mark. With even other racing games ahead of it i.e F1 2010. This generation is full of games that sold less then their previous game in the last gen i.e GTA4. I expect GT5 will be another one of those games. |
This^--- Pretty much 100% agreed with my thoughts.
I think the age of car simulation games selling as well as they did last gen is over. The popularity of the car sim genre, like JRPGs, is still big, but not nearly what it once was. And GT having no competition last gen was a big factor for its success, this generation it has plenty. If anything I think this generation is mainly shooters and WRPGS on the rise. I know GT5 will sell big, but I don't see it even coming close to Reach WW.
