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if ported (and i know it is impossible) i'd buy halo reach on the ps3.  it certainly looks like a good game. there is only two things that make me not want to buy halo for the 360.

1. i'm not paying for live.

2. i'm a trophy whore.

...but yeah, it wouldn't do as well.  1/2 to 1/3 sounds about right but mind you,...that would still be 3-5 million.