| TheSource said: One of the reasons I have PS3 peaking in Sept 2009 - August 2010 is September 2010. PS3 is going to be down over a million units against 2009 in September I'd say:
It sold 1.7m units in Sept 2009. Right now, even assuming some software lifts its trending for 600-700k in Sept 2010. October will likely be down again by several hundred thousand to half a million. Also, PS3 sold 300k week for each week of November 2009. That probably won't happen until the second or third week of November. Down November usually means down December. So we should be done with worldwide PS3 increases for a while. Wii will be down in Oct-Dec as well. X360 probably up a bit (its mostly on hw changes and Kinect though - most of the big core games for X360 are sequels and won't push huge hw). If you notice, PS3 is actually below 2008 levels heading into September (although probably flat next week), even though it is cheaper. Historically, price drops have less and less impact over time which is why PS3 probably hit its magic price point at $300, and may not top Sept 2009 - Aug 2010 even at $250 in 2011 (or even $200?). Personally, I'm expecting Wii / PS3 price cuts in Spring 2011. Putting a price cut and Zelda in the same quarter in the middle part of 2011 would probably work pretty well, Wii seems to slow in April - Aug, so Zelda could push Wii for Apr and the price cut would keep pushing Wii for six months or so until the annual fall rush of titles arrives in Sept. |
although PS3 will be down 1M in Sep its still will have bout 800k up YOY
it sold about a mill last Oct i would say it be down 200k if Move doesnt do nothing which releases in Sep so it still will have about 600k left
for Nov on id say it will stay the same as last year GT5 releases WW 1st week of Nov, what makes you think PS3 wont sell 300k in the 1st or 2nd weeks of Nov did you not see the blue PS3 for JP? look what the white FF13 bundle did for it there last year and COD BO and LBP release then too. I also believe that around Nov Sony will release $349 120gb-160gb Move bundle and Sony are notorious for releasing many other 3rd party SW PS3 bundles in EU around Nov aswell
in conclusion based on this data i would say that PS3 will be down Sep - Oct then flat-slightly up from then on but will have sold more HW fom Jan-Dec 2010 then in 09
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