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shams said:
Thanks for the users actually reading and responding to my posts :)

Yes - I don't mean an EXTRA lead of 20m next year - I mean a repeat of this year, which gives 10m (2007) + 10m (2008) lead --> a 20m lead in total.

I wonder what sort of lead the Wii *would* need before people finally accept that its not going anywhere (not a fad) - and that its down to the 360/PS3 fighting out for 2nd spot this gen.

(of course things are never this simple - this generation has a few surprises yet to throw into the mix)

Unfortunately, I don't know if some developers will catch the wii craze this generation.  I love what Nintendo has done this generation to almost garuantee getting back to #1.  But developers think quality = graphics.  No big third party game has came over from the PS3 or x360.  I think it will take greater than 50% of the market by the Wii before developers will take it seriously.  It's like they think we can build a PS3/X360 game and have 25 million users (9 PS3/16 x360) or we can build a Wii game and have 18 million users.  I think this is flawed, but I feel like after so much effort has been put into PS3/X360 the Wii needs to beat both which will be exceedingly tough to do.  I'm waiting for the first developer to learn that they can port a RE 5 or MGS 4 to the Wii.  Then we might see the floodgates open if they find out that it doesn't cost that much and then can sell a ton more copies.