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shams said:
Thanks for the users actually reading and responding to my posts :)

Yes - I don't mean an EXTRA lead of 20m next year - I mean a repeat of this year, which gives 10m (2007) + 10m (2008) lead --> a 20m lead in total.

I wonder what sort of lead the Wii *would* need before people finally accept that its not going anywhere (not a fad) - and that its down to the 360/PS3 fighting out for 2nd spot this gen.

(of course things are never this simple - this generation has a few surprises yet to throw into the mix)

 To answer your question I think that it takes at least 3 years to get a pretty good picture in terms of who will win a generation. Obviously the wii dominated the sales this year but it needs to consistently do that for at least 2-3 years in order for me to consider it the winner. I just tend to think a bit more longterm that's all. There are a number of factors which could cause the race to head in a different direction so we just have to be patient and not be so gullable as to declare the outright winner after just one year.