| Gballsback said: I think you're out off your mind, Shams. There no way possible the Wii can outsell the PS3 by 20mil in 2008. In order to do something like that, the Wii would need to be pushing the 30m sold number in one year. I think that's impossible, mainly because I don't expect demand to be that high for the Wii. Also, it's a guarantee that the Playstation 3 will do much, much better than it did this year, which will probably result 11m PS3's sold minimum. I'm already sure you're aware of this, but GTA is flagship tittle that will have a huge impact on whatever console it's being released on. Let's also not forget about the PS3's strongest market, Europe, which should be getting Grand Turismo and price drops. In addition, they're also getting a Metal Gear Solid bundle. That should easily boost sells for the already popular PS3. It will be very hard for the Wii to outsell the PS3 2:1 in Europe; that's something that needs to be done, if they're going to outsell the PS3 by 20m nest year.
Why isn't my ban over yet? The thing says 12/28/07, but it still won't let me log in! |
As already stated, your math is incorrect; Wii sales need not be what you say they are in order to achieve a 20 million lead. Furthermore your analysis is a little, uh... flawed in that you list various reasons that you believe PS3 will achieve further success in 2008, but explain away the possibility of Wii doing the same with a simple 'I don't expect demand to be that high for the Wii" - completely ignoring the major flagship titles on the horizon, including Wii Fit which has the possibility to be a real monster worldwide.
I think that Shams is correct; a 20 million lead will come easy, barring some unforeseeen circumstance suddenly coming up on the horizon. Sony should realistically look at trying to stomp the 360, because that is within striking distance. As for the Wii, I think that it has already snowballed (and will continue to do so) into something pretty much insurmountable, especially considering the wider demographic that are interested in purchasing a Wii.
