Upcoming major titles for systems in Japan (2010)

[jarrod]

Bruno Muñoz said:

jarrod said:

Front Mission Evolved won't pass 100k.  Vanquish and Naruto 2 might not either.

The rest seem like sure things, though I question listing MOVE as a major title.  If that's the standard, I think Kinect will sell 100k plus in Japan too.

You are probably right, I smell flop for Front Mission Evolved, unfortunately for Castlevania: Lords of Shadows too.

Vanquish is a safe bet IMO and Naruto 2 50/50.

Regarding MOVE it is likely that at least one or two exclusive titles will do it well.

Well, the most likely imo would be the bundled Move games (Big3 Gun Shooting, Beat Sketch or... uh... Biohazard 5 AE, if it counts again). The Japan Studio game seems too odd/niche, and all the Euro made Wii ___ clones (ie: Sports Champions, Start the Party, etc) have far too ugly a character aesthetic for the Japanese, nevermind the audience who would even want those sorts of games would likely never even consider a PS3.

I agree Naruto 2 is more a possibility, but the IPs been declining, the first game didn't quite manage 100k by some trackers (only 85k by Famistu), and now there's also a 360 version that might eat some sales.  Vanquish I can see going either way too, I think Bayonetta was much, much more appealing from a JP perspective and it only did around 200k lifetime and could be seen as a direct successor to DMC.  Vanquish is like some weird halfway point between RE4 and PN03, and while I love it, I don't think most will...