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Smeags said:

PS3:

  • Already Released and Obvious
    • Madden NFL 11 (It's at 590k in week 2. While not as strong as the 360 version, it'll hit a million this year.)
    • 2010 FIFA World Cup South Africa (860k and selling 10k a week. Never underestimate a Soccer/Football game on the PS3.)
    • MAG (It's at 900k and selling 5k a week. It's first Holiay boost should get it through to a million.)
  • Already Released and Questionable
    • Just Cause 2 (730k and still selling 14k a week. Has a good chane to hit a million this holiay season.)
    • Grand Theft Auto: Episodes from Liberty City (It's at 800k and selling 10k a week. I think it has a good chance of hitting a million this year.)
    • Prototype (It's at 960k and selling 1.5k right now. A holiday boost could get it past the million mark.)
  • Not Yet Released and Obvious
    • Gran Turismo 5 (Easy Peasy Lemon Squeazy)
    • Call of Duty: Black Ops (Main Line Call of Duty? Easy million.)
    • FIFA Soccer 11 (Like I said before, never underestimate a Soccer/Football game on the PS3.)
    • Assassin's Creed: Brotherhood (Even though it's an unnumbered sequel, it'll hit a million on the PS3 without much trouble.)
    • Medal of Honor (With its "Modern Warfare" setting and franchise popularity, MoH will be an easy million seller this holiday season.)
    • LittleBigPlanet 2 (The first, even with launch issues, sold a million with no sweat. LBP 2 will do the same, and also sweatless.)
    • Pro Evolution Soccer 2011 (Never. Underestimate.)
    • Need For Speed: Hot Pursuit (Shift got a million last year, and I'm thinking HP can do it too, even with GT5.)
  • Not Yet Released and Questionable
    • FallOut: New Vegas (FallOut 3 hit a million on the PS3 in 10 weeks. Can this un-numbered sequel sell that amount with one less week?)
    • Star Wars: The Force Unleashed II (The last Force Unleashed took 15 weeks to hit a million, so it'll be interesting to see how the sequel does.)
    • Dead Rising 2 (The original was a 360 exlusive, so it'll be interesting to see how the PS3 audience warms up to the sequel.)
    • Sports Champions (All depends on how Move does this holiday.)

I agree with all what you said but I think you're missing some games that will obviously make it to 1 million.

Dragon Age: Origins (It surely will make it. Plus there's the highly rumored Ultimate version containing all the DLCs that should be released this fall)

Rock Band 2 might do it as well. It's questionable but it's so close. It doesn't help that there's no "Others" sales -.-

MotorStorm: Pacific Rift will make it that's sure. With the 3D patch, it will sell.

Wasn't Battlefield: Bad Company over a million at some point? Anyway I think it might do it.

Valkyria Chronicles might do it as well. Moderate chances.