postofficebuddy said:
Squilliam said:
Oh dear me. Thats more steaming than usual, maybe the recent sales numbers ARE getting to him. The Wii is flat relative to itself but its declining relative to the sales of the other consoles. If he ever ventured here and looked at the front page he would see the reality of the market at present.
So much for the Xbox 360 and PS3's relative declines. If talking about the Xbox 360 market, the 360 in the U.S.A. has had a 25% and 33% decline in sale price over 4.5 years whereas the Wii has had a 20% decline in price over 3.5 years. Thats actually kinda comparable really. Overall the average sale price for the current generation consoles is significantly higher than it was last generation. IIRC the Xbox 360 was $199 within about a year of release for the HDD model, and the current 360 is still $150 more expensive at a comparable point in its life-cycle.
I can't see any implosions where im sitting. Funnily enough the Xbox 360 and PS3 are both experiencing stronger demand than they did when they launched. They'll probably go back into decline in 2011, that much is certain. Overall it certainly gives all the console makers a much more equal chance of being on top next generation than any console generation preceding. If this console generations competition is vicious, then the next generation could be unfathomable.
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With at least a $50 cut for both of the HD consoles in the cards for next year I just can't see either of them being down by a whole lot, especially with them starting the year riding the momentum from Kinect in Americas and GT5/Move in EMEAA. Probably not enough to keep them up YOY but not a big drop off. Maybe even up by a fair bit if it's a $100 cut. Although there is a bit of danger in that for MS since $100 is usually the 'Jump the Shark' price.
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Hmm, you might be right. I just like to play it conservative really, nothing against the sales potential of the systems. Its the whole Move/Kinect problem, its sort of something which I cannot see past in terms of predicting the future. Once both Kinect and Move are out and I can judge the market response respectively, I can then start making better predictions. At the moment my certainty is based off a baseline assumption that both Kinect and Move will do little more than prep the market for the next generation consoles and their respective interfaces. The hype is just too tiring to really do anything else, even though im sure the assumption is wrong.
