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leo-j said:

eventually japan is going to matter a lot..

 

if nintendo doesn't take japan, sony may

At this point, Japan matters more as a center for development imo.  The industry itself is still big, but it's shrinking due to Japan's birthrate crisis.  And for consoles it's pretty much purely secondary, handhelds have taken over in every sense. That said, there's pretty much no way PS3 will ever exceed Wii's lifetime sales in the region.

I do think PS3 (and 360) will weather 3DS better than Wii does though.  Better luck with Wii 2 Nintendo...