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I believe that Sony are trying to get core gamers on board too. With titles like Sorcery, KZ3, LBP2, RE5 and HR receiving Move support, people might be tempted to pick it up cause its a new way to play their favourite games. I sure as hell am.

Kinect on the other hand looks like a much more casual experience. 

I believe Kinect will sell buttloads of units, and Move will initially struggle. But as time passes, Move will drag along and with more games releasing, more people will buy it.