jarrod said:
CGI-Quality said:
jarrod said:
CGI-Quality said:
jarrod said:
cliffhanger said:
CGI-Quality said:
... If Sony plays their cards right, and enough pieces fall into place, the PlayStation 4 could be next gen's Super Nintendo.
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huh? In what way?
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PS2 was already Sony's SNES. PS4 will probably be their GameCube. ;)
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Guess I'll explain since you're the second person who misunderstood. Binary solo said they could launch mid gen (like the SNES did - 3 years into the 16-bit gen). I elaborated further on how that scenario could work for the PS4, particularly if Sony wants to prolong the life of the PS3 without a successor (something they haven't had to do in the past), to try to make back much of what was lost. A lot of that will also depend on the consumer. If they play that scenario, it could work in their favor, depending on the workings at Nintendo and Microsoft as well. It's a no-brainer that that's all speculation, but it isn't an impossibility.
And the PS2 wasn't the SNES of the last gen in that regard.
As for your Gamecube reference, what brings you to that conclusion? If we go by your previous reference, the PS3 is the "Gamecube" of the current gen.
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PS3 is their N64. ;) Also, I was making a joke.
The problem with a waiting game on Sony's part, is that they're not exactly starting the next cycle from a position of strength. Despite the "$599" blunder, PS3 had a lot of defacto advantages going in, thanks to being the overwhelmingly dominant market leader the previous cycle. Just imagine if PS3 had launched after a console more like itself rather than a console like the PS2... how much support you think they'd have garnered upfront, from developers, from publishers, from retail, from the media? This is chiefly why I think the SNES comparison falls flat, SNES was the assumed market leader well before it launched, since it was following up the market defining NES. PS4 can't really say the same, after PS3 being something of a financial, marketshare and mindshare disaster for the PlayStation line.
This is also something that's going to haunt PSP2 upfront imo. Sony's going to have much harder road to travel into next gen, there's not going to be as much naturally occurring support or assumed marketplace by the industry... Sony's going to have to work harder at every step, make no mistakes and really prove things out.
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The bolded is significant, I'm with that. But it also fits nicely into my piece of speculation; if they play their cards right, they could be back on top next gen. They will have a hard road to hoe though.
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I guess what I'm saying is, in keeping with the cards analogy, Sony's hand kind of sucks, and they'll need to play a spectacular game to pull off a win. I'm not sure if they can do it, and I think it'd also take combination of Sony doing about everything right, and the competition doing almost everything wrong... it's not an impossible feat, that's basically what happened with PS1, but it's not exactly a likely scenario either. 'Longshot' is the word that comes to mind...
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I think they can, and I don't think it's predicated on the position they've put themselves into by the end of this generation, but that will help. I think it's almost purely dependant on the time chosen to launch, and the marketing approach at launch.
So using your analogy, I would say they each have yet to draw there cards for next gen, and there's a good possibility any one of them could end up on top depending on the hand they play. However based on what Sony have said (believing they will launch last) I think they're leaving another company open to take the majority, again, which is foolish and will require the other two to play at least mediocre hands, for Sony to take the game.
But I'm not sure how much trust one can put in what has been said potentially 3 years before PS4 launch, whilst other executives have been cited PS4 games as being in development.
