| nightsurge said: I'm glad you put imo because I really have a hard time agreeing with any of that. What slim model did 360 have in March? The 360 doesn't need a price cut to sustain levels. That has been made apparent over the last 2 months now. Going into the holiday with the momentum behind it, the sales will increase in proportion to how they have in the past, meaning the sales will be higher than even 2008 levels (360's top year so far). Also, with the overwhelming demand and hype building for Kinect amongst casuals, I think it is safe to say that will be a strong hardware driver for this holiday, far stronger than PS Move will be for the PS3. If the 360 does cut price, which it likely won't now that sales have shown not to need one, the PS3 would be very VERY unlikely to match the price. They still aren't making profit in that division, do you think Sony will want to take another $50 loss per machine again after just becoming profitable on hardware? They didn't match price in 2008 when the 360 took off and I don't see any reason why/how they could this time. All in all, Reach, Gears 3, Fable 3, and Kinect will be plenty to drive demand for the 360, far far greater than Move GT5 for the PS3 imo. |
Sorry, March was wrong, meant with E3 in June. My fault.
I think you are overestimating the number of people buying the 360 now. Its been a lot of those grabbing up the cheaper old models as well as people replacing their models. I'd bet when the next quarterly reports come out and if MS discusses the number of new unique XBLive accounts you'll realize there is no significant jump.
Sony is profitable on the PS3 now and has been for months. They could match any price cut MS would do at this point and remain profitable. I also don't think either company will however, I don't think it is impossible. If it weren't for the staggered launch of the xbox slim models and the subsequent clearance of old stock, xbox numbers would have already fallen to or below PS3 levels.
This will be self evident in September.
In June the 360 managed 670k units. Given the launch was in the last half of June and it happened later outside of NA, July is where the real full effect can be seen. July sold 980k units. However, with 1/2 of August over its only at 425k units and is declining every week. So, by end of month (August) 360 will be at less than 800k. By end september it will be down to less than 500k easily and therefore below PS3. This is assuming no pricecut before end of September of course.
