Wii worst year for sales already? really???

[postofficebuddy]

superchunk said:

kowenicki said:

 

Unfortunately you are incorrect.  "The 360 curve is the same"?? Go check.. it isnt.  360: 2008 11m, 2009 10.6m this year 11m plus... the 360 has been VERY consistent, with marginal changes over the last 3 years.

How you can say the recent Wii fall off this year isnt surprising is beyond me.... the fall off is dramatic... like I said its tracking at about 60% of 2007 sales.

Here is history and my estimate. I think this is not only highly probably but fits my description exactly.

 

JAN-AUG	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010
X360	2,947,603	2,826,295	4,097,550	4,279,386	5,233,468
Wii	-	7,649,704	11,384,682	8,331,405	7,819,594
PS3	-	3,062,571	4,969,406	3,987,579	5,805,761
AUG-DEC	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010
X360	2,808,860	5,052,050	6,911,103	5,952,830	6,500,000
Wii	2,932,010	8,738,237	13,008,999	13,471,479	12,000,000
PS3	1,232,194	4,559,320	4,750,059	8,601,436	8,000,000
TOTAL	2006	2007	2008	2009	2010
X360	5,756,463	7,878,345	11,008,653	10,232,216	11,733,468
Wii	2,932,010	16,387,941	24,393,681	21,802,884	19,819,594
PS3	1,232,194	7,621,891	9,719,465	12,589,015	13,805,761

*** EDIT: This is assuming no price cuts for systems before holidays, otherwise you could add 1m to each system easy.

Actually there will be a PS3 price cut in Europe this year. Sony have just discovered an ingenious way to implement it. They'll ride the wave from clearance priced 120s and 250s while selling the 160s, most likely at a pretty comfortable margin, and then when the 320 Move bundle comes out they'll cut the price of the 160s, probably to €275. They'd have to be crazy to keep the 160s at €300 when the 320 with PSEye, Move, and Sports Champions only retails for €50 more. So I'd say 15 million is relatively likely.