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superchunk on 20 August 2010
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kowenicki said:
superchunk said:
kowenicki said:
 

Unfortunately you are incorrect.  "The 360 curve is the same"?? Go check.. it isnt.  360: 2008 11m, 2009 10.6m this year 11m plus... the 360 has been VERY consistent, with marginal changes over the last 3 years.

How you can say the recent Wii fall off this year isnt surprising is beyond me.... the fall off is dramatic... like I said its tracking at about 60% of 2007 sales.

Here is history and my estimate. I think this is not only highly probably but fits my description exactly.

 

JAN-AUG 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
X360    2,947,603      2,826,295      4,097,550      4,279,386      5,233,468
Wii                   -        7,649,704    11,384,682      8,331,405      7,819,594
PS3                   -        3,062,571      4,969,406      3,987,579      5,805,761
AUG-DEC 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
X360    2,808,860      5,052,050      6,911,103      5,952,830      6,500,000
Wii    2,932,010      8,738,237    13,008,999    13,471,479    12,000,000
PS3    1,232,194      4,559,320      4,750,059      8,601,436      8,000,000
TOTAL 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
X360    5,756,463      7,878,345    11,008,653    10,232,216    11,733,468
Wii    2,932,010    16,387,941    24,393,681    21,802,884    19,819,594
PS3    1,232,194      7,621,891      9,719,465    12,589,015    13,805,761

*** EDIT: This is assuming no price cuts for systems before holidays, otherwise you could add 1m to each system easy.

So you are now agreeing that the 360 actually DOESNT follow a similar curve then?

and you reckon the Wii will have  its 2nd worst year rather than its worst.   Thats a fair estimate.   But I still believe it will be nearer the 16.3m of 2007 than the 21.8m of 2009

LOL, so fixated on one thing huh. Yes, the 360 will have a better year this year than my first post above mentioned. Once I ran the numbers, it was clear.

As for the topic of this thread, the Wii is not domed and is selling like a normal item.