superchunk on 20 August 2010
| kowenicki said: Unfortunately you are incorrect. "The 360 curve is the same"?? Go check.. it isnt. 360: 2008 11m, 2009 10.6m this year 11m plus... the 360 has been VERY consistent, with marginal changes over the last 3 years. How you can say the recent Wii fall off this year isnt surprising is beyond me.... the fall off is dramatic... like I said its tracking at about 60% of 2007 sales. |
Here is history and my estimate. I think this is not only highly probably but fits my description exactly.
| JAN-AUG | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |
| X360 | 2,947,603 | 2,826,295 | 4,097,550 | 4,279,386 | 5,233,468 |
| Wii | - | 7,649,704 | 11,384,682 | 8,331,405 | 7,819,594 |
| PS3 | - | 3,062,571 | 4,969,406 | 3,987,579 | 5,805,761 |
| AUG-DEC | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |
| X360 | 2,808,860 | 5,052,050 | 6,911,103 | 5,952,830 | 6,500,000 |
| Wii | 2,932,010 | 8,738,237 | 13,008,999 | 13,471,479 | 12,000,000 |
| PS3 | 1,232,194 | 4,559,320 | 4,750,059 | 8,601,436 | 8,000,000 |
| TOTAL | 2006 | 2007 | 2008 | 2009 | 2010 |
| X360 | 5,756,463 | 7,878,345 | 11,008,653 | 10,232,216 | 11,733,468 |
| Wii | 2,932,010 | 16,387,941 | 24,393,681 | 21,802,884 | 19,819,594 |
| PS3 | 1,232,194 | 7,621,891 | 9,719,465 | 12,589,015 | 13,805,761 |
*** EDIT: This is assuming no price cuts for systems before holidays, otherwise you could add 1m to each system easy.
