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Sales - WW Up! - View Post

Mummelmann said:

The argument has essentially turned from "The Wii has such incredible software that is destroys anything and everything in its wake and the HD consoles are bing trounced like no other" to "The Wii doesn't have enough good software and system sellers but the HD consoles have lots!" (Edit; to clarify; I'm not speaking against my own point here since I believe that the HD consoles have not had a lot of system sellers this year despite a lot of others thinking so).

No matter how one looks at it, something has changed in the past year or so and some people seem unable to deal with it just like some were unable to deal with the fact that the killer/savior PS3 title never arrived or that the 360 had a ridiculous hardware failure rate to begin with. What's really going on is a whole lot of members who cannot seem to fathom that Nintendo may very well have forged a double edged sword in the Wii; incredible sales and comet speed towards a tall peak and a rather dramatic fall that follows. It has effectively devastated the competition though, so it really doesn't matter at this point. The real beast this gen is the DS, a fact that many seem to forget for some reason, that things has rockets up its ass and wings like a jumbojet.

All the while all this is going on, I'm sitting here enjoying Starcraft II on the best gaming platform of all time and this gen; the PC.

What's wrong with the argument? Do you think the X360 or PS3's console sales would have been as high as it is if its lineup were as bare as the Wii's the past two years?

What has changed is the fact that the main Wii drivers - Sports, Fit, and Mario have been hitting their saturation point. Interest in these games obviously won't last forever, and since the Wii has gotten so few actual system sellers in nearly 2 years (no, not Galaxy 2, but NSMB Wii), sales have dropped off. The holiday lineup will slow Wii's steady decline, though to remain steadier YoY they'll need another phenomenon (like if, say, Vitality is half as popular as Wii Fit).

I just don't understand your reasoning behind thinking the Wii is destined for this dramatic fall, like nothing can save it. And it's not like you have any proof of your own, to accuse people of just being in denial.

As for the 360 / PS3 front, nothing has changed. 3rd parties continue to do what they've been doing, releasing big budget games. Top this off with console price cuts / redesigns to entice interest, and the consoles continue to do well. That's really Nintendo's only problem - third parties not supporting their system means they're forced to do everything on their own. This seems to work fine for handhelds, since people only need a couple games for them (hence a handful of quality Nintendo games is enough, and DS never stops selling), but people demand far more games for their home consoles. It means Nintendo needs to pump out multiple Wii Sports / Fit / MK / NSMB caliber system sellers every year, which is no easy task...


edit: I'm busy with Starcraft II as well. Is why I'm not around nearly as often...