Could GT5 flop? (as in do disappointing sales)

[ZenfoldorVGI]

CGI-Quality said:

ZenfoldorVGI said:

CGI-Quality said:

I think conclusions are being jumped FAR too early. Can it flop, certainly, anything can. Will it, that all depends on the relevant expectations.

 

Perhaps you mean average expectations instead of relevant expectations(oxymoron). If you mean average expectations of those on this forum, then I can bet you that it will flop, because it's not going to sell 15 million units, but that's just my prediction.

I think an attainable goal is to LTD outsell Reach.

At this point, under 10m is a flop, according to most on this forum.

I meant just what I said. The only expectations I consider relevant are those from Sony. What someone thinks on a gaming forum is irrelevant, it's of no consequence/gain whatsoever.

Then your original statment makes no sense. You said that we are trying to determine if this game meets expectations "too early." However, according to your logic, we can never possibly know if this game will meet your relevant expectation. Why?

Because Sony will never tell us their expectations, will they? Unless you are aware of some official prediction for game sales. I certain am not. Furthermore, what would stop them from giving you a false expectation, just to make the actual number look better? Why wouldn't they just tell us that they expect the game to sell 5 million units, so they can crow if it sells 7.

So, if we can never determine what the actual "relevant expectations" are, then how will waiting improve our ability to jump to conclusions? How can the game ever flop if our scale is being judged by expectations which are either never presented or dishonest?