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I'm just referring to the 200k record in the first year record which was broken by the wii and was previously held by the ps2. Although I agree that the ps3 will not reach the 300k mark as fast as the wii. In terms of long term projections it's too early to tell.

One thing I will say though is that the Australian market seems to be very pro sony when you consider the ridiculously high launch price of the ps3. I didn't think it would reach 200k untill well into it's second year.