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I think that Nintendo may reveal a Wii successor at next year's E3 for one main reason:  The 3DS is going to make the Wii look dated.  I mean more than it does already.  The portable system should never out-perform the home console, and the 3DS is going to do just that--especially with the rumored tech inside out-performing the Wii.

I think the next Wii is coming sooner than the next Xbox or Playstation.  Nintendo is forcing themselves to upgrade.