Americas Pre-Order Charts, 31st July 2010

[postofficebuddy]

Hyruken said:

postofficebuddy said:

Why do people keep using GT4 as some kind of metric? If GT5 even gets remotely close to MW2 preorders it will completely smash GT4 in Americas. And as Barozi pointed out GT4 wasn't bundled in Americas, GT5 will be.

Reason is because it is the last full GT game.

The same goes for all games. Like Halo 3 being compared to Halo 2. And now Reach being compared to Halo 3.

Some people change the rules by which you can compare games to suit an agenda. Only a few months ago some people on here were saying GT5 was going to smash Halo Reach in sales. Now they have backed away from that and created a new rule. They say it will smash MW2 on PS3's sales. (a noticable drop in sales prediction). But as time goes on and it tracks under that they again change the rules to say you can't compare a driving game with a fps game.

The only thing they can't change is it's previous versions sales. For GT5 to be considered succesful it has to beat GT4 sales, it is simple as that. If it doesn't then it shows the franchise has declined in popularity. 

GT is a huge franchise around the world. The defence of some is to say "oh well GT isn't expected to do well in US because Europe and Japan are it's main markets"....Which of course is nonsense. Gt4 sold 770k in it;s first week in US. Making it at the time one of the best openings for a game. Japan did almost the same numbers. Emeaa only did 200k more. Not much of a difference is it? By that logic you can say people in Emeaa don't like COD because it sold 200k more on PS3 in US then in emeaa. Which would be total rubbish. Emeaa loves MW2, hence why it sold 1.5m there in it's first week. Making it the best opening for a PS3 game this gen.

Point being sales for GT games have been high all around the world. Will sales in emeaa really be much different from that of US? That is what some are claiming. If so then how much of a difference? Are we talking millions? No. Are we talking hundreds of thousands? yes.

As I pointed out above, if GT5 gets even relatively close to MW2 (PS3) in preorders it will crush GT4 sales. Let's say GT5 hits 600k preorders. MW2 more than doubled it's preorders in it's first week, GT5 will likely have an even better ratio than that since it will be bundled which would translate to somewhere in the vicinity of 1.2-1.4 million first week. And that's assuming GT5 doesn't beat MW2 preorders. That's almost half of GT4's lifetime sales in it's first week. Also another minor factor to consider is that this will be the first GT to officially launch in Latin America. GOW3 has sold 45k in Brazil and Sony says they expect GT5 to do even better. That could easily tack on an additional 125k-200k to lifetime sales in the region. Any declines in PAL, and I'm not expecting a significant drop if any if the Top Gear aspect is featured and properly advertised, would be more than offset by Americas. :edit: And in regards to first week EMEAA sales, you're neglecting to account for one thing. Although it hasn't been officially announced yet currently all evidence points towards a global launch for GT5 which means that it would be releasing on November 2nd in EMEAA. A Tuesday rather than the traditional Friday. That means it would have 4 days worth of sales rather than just 1.