Even though GT5 is currently leading MW2 in pre-orders I don't think final weeks pre-order surge will be as big for GT5 as for MW2, So I'm picking it will open lower. Possibly same will go for Black Ops, though with a bigger PS3 install base than there was for MW2 perhaps Black Ops will have the bigger opening, but just not the same legs.
In any case (Americas only) MW2 will still have the higher lifetime sales of the 3.
Kinda surprised that PS3 is still leading in pre-orders for Madden, I expected 360 to overtake by now. I'm still guessing opening week will be higher for 360 given it's quite a small gap now.
@ the various Kinect / Move comments: People do know that Eyepet and LBP2 will support Move right? So plenty of people will buy Eyepet (which comes with PSEye packed in for less than the price of a normal retail game, on the same week Move launches) and there is a high probability that those people will also buy a Move controller because it will be a lot easier to use than the Eyepet magic card. Sports Champs pre-orders alone can't be extrapolated to Move pre-orders. I'd say add at least 50% of Eyepet pre-orders to the Sports Champ pre-orders and that is closer to an indication of the Move launch performance (and still an under-estimate too). Not to say Kinect pre-orders aren't tracking very well, they are. You just can't compare Sports Champ and Kinect Adventures and say "that's the Kinect - Move gap".
“The fundamental cause of the trouble is that in the modern world the stupid are cocksure while the intelligent are full of doubt.” - Bertrand Russell
"When the power of love overcomes the love of power, the world will know peace."
Jimi Hendrix
