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HappySqurriel said:

You do realize that an Intel Atom (D525) and a $35 Graphics card (ATI Radeon HD 5450) would produce very similar results to the HD consoles today, don’t you?

If starting from scratch using modern technology it would be fairly easy for a company like Nintendo to exceed the performance of the HD consoles in a $200 system; and with every day that passes it becomes easier and easier. Hell, by the end of 2012 I wouldn’t be too surprised to see a phone with (roughly) the processing power of the HD consoles.

I think thats a little optimistic. The HD 5450 is rated at 100 Gigaflops and 8-12.8MS/S respectively with 80 stream processors and the Atom core is a little weak on its own. More likely a better bet would be something like Ontario with two 2Gbit GDDR5 ram modules on a 64 bit bus with cores which are around as strong as an Athlon X2 64 mated to around 160 stream processors. That would yield effectively a different version of the Xbox 360 which ought to perform about the same on paper if not being a reasonable bit more efficient in practice.

To really exceed the current consoles with a <25W CGPU you'd have to wait for the 28nm processes from either TSMC or Glofo so therefore they could either have > or = 240 stream processors and either a dual or quad core CPU.