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Simulacrum said:

But I don't see how it will success on casual market...150$ is pretty much on that market.

There is no doubt that Kinect will be a success on the market - whatever your definition of success is. The entire MS hype engine and MS pressure on magazines ensures that people will buy Kinects by the boatloads. Many of those Kinects will have the same fate as the WiiFit board. Did anyone ever really think that the WiiFit board will result in any effect on the "American obesity syndrom" ? Most of those boards ended up in the attic after a few days/weeks..