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dallas said:

The next generation won't have a RROD-box or something that costs $900 to make.  ok, so the next nintendo console is not going to be as successful.   That's one strike against it having strong third party relations.

 

Nintendo doesn't even have them now, b/c nintendo's whole sctick is making games like Sonic/mario/metroid/zelda/etc games that you can readily identify as being from nintendo.  Nintendo wants to protect its brand image, so they will probably just have strong 1st party to the exclusion of everything else just like this generation.


The side effect of not having a $900 console to manufacture will be that all three systems will (potentially) be much closer in processing power; and while the cost of systems like the "PS4" or "XBox 720" might be more competitive with the "Wii 2" it is also very likely that the "Wii 2" will be more competitive in terms of processing power and features. In general, without further knowledge of what is being produced, you could assume that each of the advantages would (more or less) balance each other out.

Now, the one thing you haven’t considered in your (mindless) rant is how the different release dates of the consoles impacted how the market appeared to third party publishers. The year head start for the XBox 360 and the combined sales of the HD consoles after the Wii launched allowed third party publishers to ignore the Wii because it never represented the majority of the market. If you retained the same sales rate of the consoles and had the Wii release a year before the HD consoles it would be unlikely that third party publishers could ignore the Wii to the same extent; and if you start considering how a shift in third party publishers’ support would impact sales of consoles, by releasing ahead of their competition a system as popular as the Wii would probably be caught in a feedback loop which lead to it dominating the market.