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It will if Nintendo doesn't stay soooo far away from the competitors raw power. That is there downfall this gen. They had the marketshare and it would have continued to grow had Wii been comparible to PS360 and gotten some early solid ports.

But, since 3rd parties have about the same marketshare on PS360 as they do Wii and they simply prefer to push the technology, then Wii loses out on great IPs. So, Nintendo needs to not only push the innovation, but atleast come within striking distance in terms of performance (like PS2 to xbox) to do even better than Wii and finally break 50% marketshare or higher.