i dont know it depends, by what i have noticed if their wasnt a holiday season nintendo games wouldnt sell 50% of what they do, that is because most wii gamers buy games in the holiday season, and they do that at a massive ammount(games other then mario,metroid,zelda and the other popular nintendo franchises) that is why out of all the nintendo games being published this year, only two arent in the holiday season, while one(metroid) is farely close.
what does that have to do with first parties, cod came on the wii, it sold 1 million units, if the same audience who bought a wii this gen will buy the succesor then i dont see a reason for rockstar,ea,thq to put games like red faction,gta, and battle field on the next nintendo console. if the next wii has a good 3rd party system that doesnt mean 360/ps3 gamers will jump shift, as i doubt that those games will be wii exclusive. the chances of a metal gear solid, a gta, a assasins creed of coming on the wii 2 is highely unlikely. nintendo's next console will also be for the casual market, hence the same audience, hence unless every good 3rd party launches during the holiday season they wont have average sales.
if nintendo wants a good 3rd party system they are going to have to change theur ways, which is never going to happen.
Being in 3rd place never felt so good
