WilliamWatts said:
Reasonable said:
Well, I don't think that all the spike is re-purchases but I do think that the 360s is seeing a greater ratio of re-buys at the moment vs say the PS3 Slim when it launched.
It's hard to be sure, though. I know SW hasn't spiked, which you'd expect at least a bit if hundreds of thousands of new owners suddenly appeared, but then they could have spent their money getting the console and have little left over for games (although you'd at least expect the 360 gold standard titles to see a modest bump I suppose). Or the new owners could be rushing to buy the core titles second hand and therefore not registering on the SW charts.
I suppose all we can say is that HW wise it's been great for 360 but so far but the success hasn't translated directly at this point to the game developers, too.
I think a fair few are new owners, however, as the new spec/look is good and I've always felt the specter of RROD has held back some who I would imagine have finally "jumped in".
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How do we know? From what I remember much of the software sales listed are simply based off regression and various other statistical tools from Brett. If he hasn't updated his statistics program then the software sales will carry on as far as we are concerned as if nothing has happened. You're basing this on software totals which may or may not be accurate. The safest thing to do is to say nothing and think nothing of it until you're certain that the software sales presented on a weekly basis are representative. I don't think you could say with even a reasonable margin of error that the software sales truly relfect what the change in the market is, especially when that change would be riding in the typical 15% or so margin of error.
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We don't know for sure, which was my point, but unless they're generating fake numbers Brett's tools should be taking most recent data (which they apparently get) and it's pretty easy (and standard) to have the algorithms skew to any major shifts immediately apparent in the data. Hence, if SW was seeing a spike it would be in their sample data and it should be extrapolated out using their algorithm.
After all, how the heck are they picking up the HW spike? By your logic they wouldn't have as they'd follow the previous trend. No, if they can pick up the HW spike they can pick up a SW spike.
Besides, there's plenty of evidence there is a fair bit of re-buying. On all major UK online sites I checked plus some stores the 360 HDD transfer kits were also spiking massively with the 360s - that has to be a re-buy, a new customer isn't going to buy a transfer kit with their brand new and only 360. Only existing 360 owners will want a transfer kit.
Also, logically you can see from the specs that the 360s will attract re-buys.
