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It's not just about volume of apps either. There has to be some type of consistency in user experience. I don't know if Google will assert the authority to make sure apps follow consistent user interface guidelines. If too much fragmentation occurs, it will end up like Linux where everything is all wonky. It may be cheaper and more powerful but nobody cares because its hard to use.



Anyone can guess. It takes no effort to throw out lots of predictions and have some of them be correct. You are not and wiser or better for having your guesses be right. Even a blind man can hit the bullseye.