I just realized that Nintendo will stay in first place for a long time

[snfr]

SleepWaking said:

snfr said:

The future of home consoles regarding sales is very unclear IMO. The reason for that is mainly because we have a much bigger casual audience because of the Wii (and DS, of course, but I'm talking about home consoles now). Previous consoles that have sold more than the competition did that because of exclusives (mainly), but that changed with the Wii. As long as Nintendo keeps the casuals mainly on their side by doing innovative things before the competition does and also by having the cheapest console from the beginning, they will keep the lead in the console war.

Sony and MS definitly try to get in the casual market, but they are actually improving on already done things (EyeToy and Wiimote). As I see it the places in this gen are alread set. Next gen everything could happen.

I disagree, Wii didn't sell because of it's hardware but because of the software who used motion controls. The most important games this generation were definitely exclusive.

Indeed you're right. But imagine these games wouldn't have motion controls... then the casual appeal would be gone.

That was what I meant. Past console generations didn't have as much casual gamers as this gen. The Wii actually brought gaming to non-gamers.