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Most definitely Nintendo. It's their big chance to wipe MS and Sony off the market. If the Wii 2 is first out of the gate, is Wii compatible, is more powerful than X360 and PS3, has motion capturing controllers (cfr. Johnny Lee's hacks) and is cheap, then they are guaranteed to dominate the next gen even more. If they let MS or Sony come out with a next-gen first, then they may lose everything because both MS and Sony are sure going to copycat the Wii controller.