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tokilamockingbrd said:

Ok so right now the Wii is behind the 360 by 2.32 million in NA right.

So after the Wii Sells 1.1 million and the 360 sells 390k in NA next week the Wii will be behind by 1.221

I am going to be conservative with the next week and the Wii only outsells the 360 by 100k

So going into January the Wii will be behind by 1.121- Lets say the 360 does the exact same as it did last year and sells 533k. NA should recieve 50% of the total shipments combined with Brawls release will sell 1.8 million in Jan and Feb. If this holds true the Wii will pass the 360 the in the last weeks of Feb. and will actually have a 146k lead on March 1st.

The reason my prediction states April 1st is because the 360 could sell more or NA could get less than 50% of total Wii's produced.... BUT, Nintendo may be able to crank out MORE than 1.8(I believe they are right now)

So here it is. The Wii will be ahead of the 360 in NA on 4/1/08


I think April 1 is about right.  The 360 is going to sell more in Jan-Mar 08 than in Jan-Mar 07, for the simple reasons that it is cheaper and has many more quality software titles that have been released in recent months.  Still, it will not be able to keep pace with the Wii, which still hasn't exhausted the people who wait in line for it on Sunday mornings.

360 has GTA IV in early 2008.  Wii has Brawl, Wii Fit, and Mario Kart (possible delay on MK).  360 has done very well in the second half of this year, but IMO the only reason it hasn't already been passed in NA is because there aren't enough Wiis to go around.