HappySqurriel said:
I would put the probability of each of the manufacturers being out first as: Microsoft: 45% Even though I don't think it will happen this way, it is possible that Nintendo will go from selling 60% of current generation consoles in 2008 to 50% of current generation consoles in 2009, and falling to 40% in 2010 and 30% in 2011. If Nintendo started to see this trend flesh out it is likely that they would plan to release a follow up console in late 2011 while they were still a very popular console manufacturer; at the same time, Nintendo's loss in yearly sales would probably lead to increases in sales of XBox 360 and PS3 systems and they would (probably) see slightly longer lifespans. |
Really unlikely, since consoles don't tend to fall off like that, the DS is a good indicator of the Wii's future sales trends
Predictions:Sales of Wii Fit will surpass the combined sales of the Grand Theft Auto franchiseLifetime sales of Wii will surpass the combined sales of the entire Playstation family of consoles by 12/31/2015 Wii hardware sales will surpass the total hardware sales of the PS2 by 12/31/2010 Wii will have 50% marketshare or more by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! It was a little over 48% only)Wii will surpass 45 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2008 (I was wrong!! Nintendo Financials showed it fell slightly short of 45 million shipped by end of 2008)Wii will surpass 80 Million in lifetime sales by the end of 2009 (I was wrong!! Wii didn't even get to 70 Million)
